Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs Inter Turku
Best Alternative: Consider BTTS or Over 2.5 (BTTS: 51.7%, Over 2.5: 50.6%)
| Outcome | Model Prob | Market Prob | Odds | Value? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 22.2% | 19.3% | 5.00 | |
| Draw | 24.0% | 24.0% | 4.02 | |
| Away Win | 53.8% | 56.7% | 1.70 |
Expected Goals
1.00 / 1.70
BTTS
51.7%
Over 2.5
50.6%
Home Win
22.2%
Draw
24.0%
Away Win
53.8%
Gnistan’s Last 5 Home Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | KTP | 2-1 | W |
| 01/06/2025 | Ilves | 0-2 | L |
| 16/05/2025 | SJK | 2-2 | D |
| 03/05/2025 | Mariehamn | 2-0 | W |
| 27/04/2025 | KuPS | 1-2 | L |
Average: 1.40 goals scored, 1.40 goals conceded
Inter Turku’s Last 5 Away Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | Jaro | 1-0 | W |
| 25/05/2025 | SJK | 1-0 | W |
| 10/05/2025 | Mariehamn | 2-2 | D |
| 26/04/2025 | AC Oulu | 4-1 | W |
| 19/04/2025 | VPS | 2-0 | W |
Average: 2.00 goals scored, 0.60 goals conceded
KuPS vs HJK
Best Alternative: Consider HJK to Score (underdog, xG: 1.80, opp concedes: 1.20)
| Outcome | Model Prob | Market Prob | Odds | Value? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 20.8% | 36.4% | 2.66 | |
| Draw | 23.1% | 28.2% | 3.44 | |
| Away Win | 56.1% | 35.4% | 2.74 |
Expected Goals
1.00 / 1.80
BTTS
52.8%
Over 2.5
53.1%
Home Win
20.8%
Draw
23.1%
Away Win
56.1%
KuPS’s Last 5 Home Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | Ilves | 0-3 | L |
| 25/05/2025 | VPS | 0-2 | L |
| 10/05/2025 | KTP | 3-0 | W |
| 02/05/2025 | SJK | 1-0 | W |
| 23/04/2025 | Mariehamn | 4-1 | W |
Average: 1.60 goals scored, 1.20 goals conceded
HJK’s Last 5 Away Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | AC Oulu | 4-0 | W |
| 24/05/2025 | Mariehamn | 4-0 | W |
| 11/05/2025 | Jaro | 3-0 | W |
| 03/05/2025 | Inter Turku | 1-1 | D |
| 11/04/2025 | SJK | 0-1 | L |
Average: 2.40 goals scored, 0.40 goals conceded
SJK vs Mariehamn
Best Alternative: Consider Mariehamn to Score (underdog, xG: 1.30, opp concedes: 1.60)
| Outcome | Model Prob | Market Prob | Odds | Value? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 49.2% | 69.6% | 1.36 | |
| Draw | 23.1% | 17.6% | 5.38 | |
| Away Win | 27.7% | 12.8% | 7.42 |
Expected Goals
1.80 / 1.30
BTTS
60.7%
Over 2.5
59.9%
Home Win
49.2%
Draw
23.1%
Away Win
27.7%
SJK’s Last 5 Home Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | Jaro | 3-1 | W |
| 25/05/2025 | Inter Turku | 0-1 | L |
| 12/05/2025 | VPS | 2-3 | L |
| 28/04/2025 | Haka | 2-2 | D |
| 23/04/2025 | AC Oulu | 3-1 | W |
Average: 2.00 goals scored, 1.60 goals conceded
Mariehamn’s Last 5 Away Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | KTP | 2-2 | D |
| 17/05/2025 | AC Oulu | 1-0 | W |
| 03/05/2025 | Gnistan | 0-2 | L |
| 23/04/2025 | KuPS | 1-4 | L |
| 12/04/2025 | Haka | 1-0 | W |
Average: 1.00 goals scored, 1.60 goals conceded
Haka vs Ilves
Best Alternative: Consider Haka to Score (underdog, xG: 1.20, opp concedes: 1.40)
| Outcome | Model Prob | Market Prob | Odds | Value? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 30.4% | 23.8% | 4.00 | |
| Draw | 25.5% | 24.0% | 3.96 | |
| Away Win | 44.1% | 52.2% | 1.82 |
Expected Goals
1.20 / 1.50
BTTS
54.3%
Over 2.5
50.6%
Home Win
30.4%
Draw
25.5%
Away Win
44.1%
Haka’s Last 5 Home Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | VPS | 2-1 | W |
| 16/05/2025 | KuPS | 1-3 | L |
| 02/05/2025 | Jaro | 0-1 | L |
| 19/04/2025 | AC Oulu | 2-1 | W |
| 12/04/2025 | Mariehamn | 0-1 | L |
Average: 1.00 goals scored, 1.40 goals conceded
Ilves’s Last 5 Away Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | KuPS | 3-0 | W |
| 01/06/2025 | Gnistan | 2-0 | W |
| 17/05/2025 | Inter Turku | 1-3 | L |
| 02/05/2025 | VPS | 0-1 | L |
| 27/04/2025 | Mariehamn | 2-3 | L |
Average: 1.60 goals scored, 1.40 goals conceded
KTP vs Jaro
Best Alternative: Consider Jaro to Score (underdog, xG: 1.50, opp concedes: 2.40)
| Outcome | Model Prob | Market Prob | Odds | Value? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 27.8% | 39.0% | 2.44 | |
| Draw | 25.8% | 26.2% | 3.64 | |
| Away Win | 46.4% | 34.8% | 2.74 |
Expected Goals
1.10 / 1.50
BTTS
51.8%
Over 2.5
48.2%
Home Win
27.8%
Draw
25.8%
Away Win
46.4%
KTP’s Last 5 Home Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | Mariehamn | 2-2 | D |
| 23/05/2025 | Haka | 0-0 | D |
| 02/05/2025 | AC Oulu | 1-3 | L |
| 19/04/2025 | Ilves | 0-5 | L |
| 11/04/2025 | VPS | 2-2 | D |
Average: 1.00 goals scored, 2.40 goals conceded
Jaro’s Last 5 Away Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | SJK | 1-3 | L |
| 17/05/2025 | VPS | 0-0 | D |
| 02/05/2025 | Haka | 1-0 | W |
| 19/04/2025 | KuPS | 0-1 | L |
| 12/04/2025 | Ilves | 1-2 | L |
Average: 0.60 goals scored, 1.20 goals conceded
AC Oulu vs VPS
Best Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (74.7%)
| Outcome | Model Prob | Market Prob | Odds | Value? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 17.3% | 31.5% | 3.02 | |
| Draw | 17.3% | 26.9% | 3.54 | |
| Away Win | 65.3% | 41.6% | 2.29 | Value Bet! |
Expected Goals
1.30 / 2.60
BTTS
67.3%
Over 2.5
74.7%
Home Win
17.3%
Draw
17.3%
Away Win
65.3%
AC Oulu’s Last 5 Home Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | HJK | 0-4 | L |
| 31/05/2025 | SJK | 2-2 | D |
| 17/05/2025 | Mariehamn | 0-1 | L |
| 10/05/2025 | Gnistan | 2-3 | L |
| 26/04/2025 | Inter Turku | 1-4 | L |
Average: 1.00 goals scored, 2.80 goals conceded
VPS’s Last 5 Away Matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | Mariehamn | 5-1 | W |
| 31/05/2025 | Haka | 1-2 | L |
| 25/05/2025 | KuPS | 2-0 | W |
| 12/05/2025 | SJK | 3-2 | W |
| 26/04/2025 | HJK | 1-3 | L |
Average: 2.40 goals scored, 1.60 goals conceded